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Project information

Analysis of supply curves in the French day-ahead market to improve the modelling of interconnection behaviour

J. Portela A. Muñoz E. Insunza Díaz

May 2026 - July 2026

Funding entity Endesa, Medios y Sistemas, S.L., Endesa S.A


The project is aimed at studying and improving the modelling of the French quarter-hourly day-ahead market, with particular attention to the impact of complex bid conditions on supply curves and prices, as well as their interaction with the Spanish market.

The project includes the construction of new residual demand curves for France, incorporating the effect of these conditions and taking into account exchanges with neighbouring countries. These curves will serve as a basis for improving price forecasting models in both Spain and France, as well as for achieving a better estimation of the actual interconnection between the two countries.


Layman's summary: The project seeks to improve forecasting of the French electricity market by analysing how complex bids affect curves and prices, as well as exchanges with Spain.



Techniques employed: Advanced Time series models. Functional Data. Data Analysis



HADES_2026_T2_DR_Francia